Saturday, July 09, 2005

Dennis Updates

I'm just going to post Dennis updates in this post from now on to avoid saturating my blog.

Why do the adjectives "beautiful" and "deadly" end up describing the same thing so often?

Dennis is gearing up to return to category 4 strength before it makes landfall somewhere near Mobile, Alabama or Pensacola, Florida tomorrow evening. The central pressure is already there, the winds are just trying to catch up. They're at 125 mph right now (11pm Saturday), near the high end of a category 3 storm. Can you evacuate a city as big as Mobile?

Jim Cantore, the Weather Channel's Action Meteorologist, is predictably stationed near the projected landfall site. If you ever watch the Weather Channel and see Jim Cantore standing outside (whether it's during the winter or the summer), make note of where he is an stay very far away from there. He makes it a point to be in the worst part of a blizzard or hurricane. He even sounds disappointed when a storm changes direction and hits one of his fellow correspondents harder than it hits him. I am fairly certain he would be a tornado chaser if he weren't working for the Weather Channel (and for all I know, he goes tornado chasing on his days off).

Update 7/10/05, 9:36 AM - Well, Dennis pulled a classic "stengthen overnight" move. Jeff Masters over at Weather Underground called the wind speed - Dennis is up to 145 mph. The eye is still just visible on satellite, but NOAA is predicting an eye wall replacement cycle just before landfall, which means it may weaken a bit (but not necessarily back down to a Cat 3). Hopefully, it's reached peak intensity.

Update 7/10/05, 10:36 AM - Latest wind speed update has winds at 140 mph, smack dab in the middle of Cat 4 wind speed range. Pressure is holding steady. Looking at the track for this thing, it looks like it's going to stall over southern Indiana on Thursday. After been trapped in Richmond for Gustav last year, I can tell you that this is not a good thing. Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio should keep their eyes on this system.

Update 7/10/05, 2:36 PM - Dennis has weakened a bit, with maximum sustained winds having dropped to 135 mph. However, he's still a Cat 4 and is expected to make landfall within the next hour. Everyone should be hunkered down at this point, with only the insane weathermen venturing out into the storm.

Update 7/10/05, 2:57 PM - Last advisory before landfall has winds at 120 mph, down to a category 3, but STILL a major hurricane.

Update 7/10/05, 8:51 pm - As of the 7 pm update, Dennis had been on land for 4 hours and was still a hurricane, with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph. The pressure was still fairly low, too, so it may still be a strong tropical storm when the next update rolls around. The center is well north of the Florida panhandle now and will probably be out of Alabama by morning. People in the track of the storm now still have to worry about rain - an lots of it.

Update 7/11/05, 12:17 AM - Dennis is still a medium strength tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph even though it's half-way through Alabama.

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home